No Labels, No Substance

A noble idea, but a risky gamble that could lead to Trump's reelection

No Labels, No Substance: A Noble Idea, But a Risky Gamble for Trump's Reelection

In 1992 my wife and I both voted for Ross Perot, who offered a message that had a vaguely similar tone to that of Donald Trump in 2016.  The difference was, unlike Trump, Ross was a legitimate businessman and he wasn’t crazy, or at least not until the bizarre episode surrounding his daughter’s wedding.  Even with that we still voted for him.  Early on, he looked like he could win.  After that, ours was a protest vote.

In terms of political outcomes, the differences between 1992 and 2024 are stark.  Back then, our republic was not threaten as it is today.  A third party spoiler then would not have had the same kind of dire consequences we’d be staring at in 2024.

In this turbulent political landscape, we find ourselves contemplating the merits of the No Labels movement. The idea behind No Labels is alluring—an effort to transcend partisan divisions and foster cooperation across the aisle.  While offering no real substance or specifics, it promises to bridge the ever-widening political chasm and address the pressing challenges facing our nation. In theory, this approach seeks to put the needs of the people above party loyalty, encouraging bipartisan solutions.  Of course, there’s theory and then there’s reality.

No Labels suggests that the two most likely options for 2024 are Trump and Biden and neither are worthy.  We all know why Trump is not fit for office and that his election would likely end our democracy.  But what are Biden’s indiscretions?  He’s gotten as much done in office as any president in recent history including shepherding an infrastructure bill and however modest, the first bipartisan gun legislation in over 30 years.

So what is the biggest knock on Biden?  His age. When he stumbles literally and figuratively, people proclaim he’s too old.  But as Joe would say, “here’s the deal”—He has competent advisors and policy makers, not sycophants. I don’t care if he’s old, he gets shit done that benefits all Americans.

While the No Labels concept may appear noble at first glance, we must pause and question whether embracing this approach could inadvertently hand Trump a victory in 2024. There's no denying his ability to command a fervent base of followers. History has taught us that underestimating his appeal could have disastrous consequences for any opponent.  As I’ve written before, his cult-like followers will never abandon him.  They certainly won’t for someone like Senator Joe Manchin.

That begs the question, who would vote for Manchin or any other candidate endorsed by No Labels?  Perhaps moderate democrats or what’s left of what used to be the republican party.

Embracing No Labels may inadvertently dilute the clear contrast between the candidates, leaving the electorate with a less discernible choice. MSNBC’s Ali Velshi calls it a “dangerous vanity project”.  It could potentially weaken the resolve of those who vehemently oppose Trump's policies and actions, dampening their enthusiasm to mobilize against him.

Furthermore, we must confront the real possibility that a third-party, No Labels candidate could siphon crucial votes from the main opposition, thereby handing Trump an advantage in a closely contested race. But according to a recent Monmouth Poll, a potential unity ticket comprised of Manchin and former Utah governor Jon Huntsman (R) would barely eat into Biden’s lead, as he would still boast a 40%-34% advantage over Trump.  Given the history, I think we can all be skeptical of any poll like this.  Make no mistake, it will be close even without a No Labels ticket.

With Donald Trump's political prowess undiminished, we simply can’t gamble on a strategy that may inadvertently weaken the resolve of those opposing his policies.  As we navigate the complexities of our political landscape, let’s remember that unity can be a powerful force, but only when it is strategically aligned with the objective of securing a resounding victory against Trump's resurgence. Ultimately, our shared goal must be to preserve the principles and values we hold dear, even if it means setting aside certain ideals in the short term for the greater good in the long run.

The future of our democracy wasn’t in jeopardy in 1992.  It is today.  Maybe next go around the No Labels concept will make sense, but not now.  The stakes are way too high.